Climate change and the fall of the Tang

Via CDT, an interesting piece that argues the Tang dynasty may have been done in by climate change. (The full report can be found in the journal Nature, but is available to subscribers only.)

According to a collaborative effort between scientists from Germany and China, between 700 and 900 CE the climate changed, the winter monsoon was strong but the summer monsoons weakened. This period was also marked by cooler temperatures and shorter growing seasons.

What eventually brought down the dynasty were the prolonged droughts, which caused significant crops failures and subsequent peasant uprisings. This ultimately led to the collapse of the dynasty in 907. The team led by Gerald Haug of the Geoforschungszentrum (GFZ) in Potsdam, eastern Germany, suggests that this shift in tropical precipitation occurred on both sides of the Pacific, and not just in coastal East Asia. The same migration of the rainband occurred in Central America and doomed the so-called classic period of the Mayan civilisation, at almost exactly the same time as the Tang era, they state in this week’s Nature. Comparisons of the titanium records from the Huguangyan Lake, in Guangdong province, and from the Cariaco basin, in Venezuela, have thrown up remarkable

How easy is a PhD in history?

According to this morning’s edition of Inside Higher Education, it’s not that easy getting in and once you’re there, be prepared to stay awhile.

Citing a study by the American Historical Association, IHE reports: History departments in the United States with doctoral programs received an average of 74.1 applications for the fall 2007 term and anticipate enrolling an average of 9.1 students. Those departments report currently having an average of 54.7 students, 62 percent of whom are receiving financial aid and 33 percent of whom are working as teaching assistants.

How long to finish and what is ‘normative progress?’ This is a constant struggle in our department because our department handbook was written primarily with Americanists in mind and assumes five years to be a normative time to attain a PhD. Obviously for Asianists, Africanists or anybody working in what our US history colleagues like to call “weird languages,” it takes a bit longer. The good news, according to the AHA study at least, is that we are not alone.

Of the students who entered graduate school five years ago, only 24% had completed the program within those five years, 55% were still in the pipeline, and 21% had quit

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