Who’s Hu?

Decent profile of Hu Jintao by Financial Times Beijing bureau chief Richard McGregor. I confess that I really don’t know all that much about Hu’s early life and career other than the c.v. type stuff and now I know it wasn’t just my own laziness. Reading the article, I was struck by the extent to which the CCP tries to obscure even the most banal details of Hu’s early life: Every effort has been made to shut doors on Hu’s life. Ma’s book was more hagiography than biography, but she was rebuked for writing it. Hu’s university contemporary Wan, who founded one of China’s first computer companies, Stone, speaks freely only from exile in the US, where he has lived since the crackdown on pro-democracy demonstrators in 1989. And while the few foreign reporters who have managed to speak to Hu’s aunt, Liu Bingxia – who raised him from the age of five in the city of Taizhou, Jiangsu province, after his father died – returned with a consistent image of a diligent and uncomplaining boy, even these insights were too much for the authorities. Local officials have since prevented visitors from talking to her. That may be because of

FP: Five Population Trends to Watch

Number four on Foreign Policy‘s recent “Five Population Trends to Watch” list cites China and India as leading examples of the “Too many grooms, not enough brides” trend: Military experts have a saying: Amateurs study strategy; professionals study logistics. When it comes to geopolitics, professionals study demographics…

In China, a strong preference for sons and the country’s one-child policy mean that 118 boys are being born for every 100 girls. In India, a tradition of crushing dowries and the need for a son to support parents in old age have contributed to a gender imbalance as high as 120 boys per 100 girls in some parts. When these boys grow into adults, it could set off a testosterone time bomb of sexually frustrated young men who can’t find partners. China projects that in 2020 it will have 30 million more men of marriageable age than women.

There are many factors that can contribute to social instability and political unrest, but having a large population of young, underemployed, and unmarried males is a big one. By way of example, I give you the Old “Wild” West in the United States, rural China in the mid- to late-19th century, and Sanlitun’r on

This Date in History: The Gang of Four

On this date in 1976 former Chinese leader and Granite Studio sympathy fave Hua Guofeng ordered the arrest of the widow Mao (Jiang Qing) and three other accomplices, Zhang Chunqiao, Yao Wenyuan, and Wang Hongwen–collectively better known as the Gang of Four (四人帮). The Gang went to trial in 1981, accused of trying to seize power during Mao’s waning days.I’ve said this before, but Hua gets short shrift. By arresting the Go4, he created a useful way to signal the end of the Cultural Revolution–then already well past its zenith–and gave the CCP a neat little political handle to grapple with the complex, mixed, and bloody legacy of the man called Mao. Anti-Japanese resistance? Good Mao. Bloody chaos and social mayhem in the Cultural Revolution? Gang of Four.

Not so easily duped, people in Beijing for many years after the arrest would sometimes hold up five fingers when referencing the Gang–four fingers for those in prison and a fifth for the one kept under glass in Tiananmen Square.

The machinations and maneuvering of the 1960s and 1970s are only now just starting to emerge from the shadows. We have the broad strokes (Mao dies, supposedly names Hua as successor, Hua

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